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When is US war really over?

As the last US combat troops prepare to go away Afghanistan, the question arises: When is that the war really over?

When is US war really over?

For Afghans the solution is obvious but grim: no time soon. An emboldened ‘Taliban insurgency’ is making battlefield gains, and prospective peace talks are stalled. Some fear that when foreign forces are gone, Afghanistan will dive deeper into war . Though degraded, an Afghan affiliate of the Islamic State extremist network also lurks, reported American media.

For the us and its coalition partners, the endgame is murky. Although all combat troops and 20 years of accumulated war materiel will soon be gone, the top folks Central Command, Gen. Frank McKenzie, will have authority until a minimum of September to defend Afghan forces against the Taliban. He can do so by ordering strikes with US warplanes based outside of Afghanistan, consistent with defense officials who discussed details of military planning on condition of anonymity.

The Pentagon said Friday that the US military has left Bagram Airfield after nearly 20 years. the power was the epicenter of the war, but its transfer to the Afghan government didn't mark the US military’s final withdrawal from the country.

A look at the top of the war:


What’s left of the combat mission?

Technically, US forces haven’t been engaged in ground combat in Afghanistan since 2014. But counterterrorism troops are pursuing and hitting extremists since then, including with Afghanistan-based aircraft. Those strike aircraft are now gone and people strikes, along side any logistical support for Afghan forces, are going to be done from outside the country.

Inside Afghanistan, US troops will not be there to coach or advise Afghan forces. a strangely large US security contingent of 650 troops, based at the US Embassy compound, will protect American diplomats and potentially help secure the Kabul international airport. Turkey is predicted to continue its current mission of providing airport security, but McKenzie will have authority to stay as many as 300 more troops to help that mission until September.

It’s also possible that the US military could also be asked to help any large-scale evacuation of Afghans, seeking Special Immigrant Visas, although the State Department-led effort envisions using commercially chartered aircraft and should not require a military airlift. The White home is concerned that Afghans who helped the US war effort, and are thereby susceptible to Taliban retribution, not be left behind.

When he decided in April to bring the US war to an in depth , President Joe Biden gave the Pentagon until Sept. 11 to finish the withdrawal. On Friday, the Pentagon said it now plans to finish the pullout by the top of August. the military general responsible in Kabul, Scott Miller, has essentially finished it already, with nearly all military equipment gone and few troops left.

The Pentagon said Miller is predicted to stay in command for a few more weeks. But will his departure this month constitute the top of the US war? With as many as 950 US troops within the country until September and therefore the potential for continuesd airstrikes, the solution is perhaps not.


How wars end

Unlike Afghanistan, some wars end with a flourish, positive results and signing of treaties. World War-I was over with the armistice signed with Germany on Nov. 11, 1918 — each day now celebrated as a federal holiday within the US — and therefore the later signing of the Treaty of Versailles.

World War-II saw dual celebrations in 1945 with Germany’s surrender marking Victory in Europe (V-E Day) and Japan’s surrender a couple of months later as Victory Over Japan (V-J Day) following the US atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. In Korea, an armistice signed in July 1953 ended the fighting, although technically the war was only suspended because no peace was ever signed.

Other endings are less clear-cut. The US pulled troops out of Vietnam in 1973, in what many consider a failed war that ended with the autumn of Saigon two years later. And when convoys folks troops drove out of Iraq in 2011, a ceremony marked their final departure. But just three years later, American troops were back to rebuild Iraqi forces that collapsed under attacks by Islamic State militants.


Victory or defeat?

As America’s war in Afghanistan draws to an in depth , there'll be no surrender and no peace , no final victory and no decisive defeat. Biden says it had been enough that US forces dismantled al-Qaeda and killed Osama bin Laden , the group’s leader considered the mastermind of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.

Lately, violence in Afghanistan has escalated. Taliban attacks on Afghan forces and civilians have intensified and therefore the group has taken control of quite 100 district centers. Pentagon leaders have said there's “medium” risk that the Afghan government and its security forces collapse within subsequent two years, if not sooner.

US leaders insist the sole path to peace in Afghanistan is thru a negotiated settlement. The Trump administration signed a affect the Taliban in February 2020 that said the US would withdraw its troops by May 2021 in exchange for Taliban promises, including that it keeps Afghanistan from again being a staging arena for attacks on America. US officials say the Taliban aren't fully adhering to their a part of the discount , whilst the US continues its withdrawal.


NATO mission

The NATO Resolute Support mission to coach , advise and assist the Afghan security forces began in 2015, when the US-led mission was declared over. At that time the Afghans assumed full responsibility for his or her security, yet they remained hooked in to billions of dollars a year in US aid.

At the height of the war, there have been quite 130,000 troops in Afghanistan from 50 NATO nations and partner countries. That dwindled to about 10,000 troops from 36 nations for the Resolute Support mission, and as of in the week most had withdrawn their troops. Some may even see the war ending when NATO’s mission is said over. But which will not happen for months.

According to officials, Turkey is negotiating a replacement bilateral agreement with Afghan leaders so as to stay at the airport to supply security. Until that agreement is completed, the legal authorities for Turkish troops staying in Afghanistan are under the auspices of the Resolute Support mission.


Counterterror mission

The US troop withdrawal doesn’t mean the top of the war on terrorism. The US has made it clear that it retains the authority to conduct strikes against al-Qaeda or other terrorist groups in Afghanistan if they threaten the US homeland.

Because the US has pulled its fighter and surveillance aircraft out of the country, it must now believe manned and unmanned flights from ships stumped and air bases within the Gulf region, like al-Dhafra air station within the United Arab Emirates. The Pentagon is trying to find basing alternatives for surveillance aircraft and other assets in countries closer to Afghanistan. As yet, no agreements are reached.

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